Palermo FC crestPalermo FCvsSSC Bari crestSSC Bari

Palermo FC 2-0 SSC Bari — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie BFri, 19 Sep 2025 19:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Palermo FC57%

Tofiko57% / 23% / 20%
Market56% / 25% / 19%
  • Palermo FC
  • Draw
  • SSC Bari

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Palermo FC, rating it at 57.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 6 times, and Palermo FC won 2 of 6, with 2 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

They arrive from very different football. Palermo FC's last 5 produced 21 goals — 4.2 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. SSC Bari's 5 produced 8, at 1.6 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • Palermo FC's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 28 Sep 2026.

Palermo FC: WDWWW

SSC Bari: WWDWW

Head-to-head

As of 28 Sep 2026.

  • 6Games
  • 1.83Avg goals
  • 17%Both scored
  • 33%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-01-30SSC Bari vs Palermo FC0–3
2025-09-19Palermo FC vs SSC Bari2–0
2024-02-02Palermo vs SSC Bari3–0
2023-08-18SSC Bari vs Palermo0–0
2023-01-20Palermo vs FC Bari 19081–0
2022-08-19FC Bari 1908 vs Palermo1–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Palermo FC vs SSC Bari?
Tofiko's model favours Palermo FC (57% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Palermo FC vs SSC Bari kick off?
Fri, 19 Sep 2025 19:00 GMT — Italian Serie B.
What is the Palermo FC vs SSC Bari head-to-head record?
In their last 6 meetings: 3 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.83 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legBari 0-3 Palermo30 Jan 2026 →