Palermo FCvs
SSC BariPalermo FC 2-0 SSC Bari — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie BFri, 19 Sep 2025 19:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Palermo FC57%
- Palermo FC 57%
- Draw 23%
- SSC Bari 20%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Palermo FC, rating it at 57.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and Palermo FC won 2 of 6, with 2 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 23.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 5 Sep 2026.
Palermo FC: WWWWL
SSC Bari: DLWWW
Head-to-head
As of 5 Sep 2026.
- 6Games
- 1.83Avg goals
- 17%Both scored
- 33%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-30 | SSC Bari vs Palermo FC | 0–3 |
| 2025-09-19 | Palermo FC vs SSC Bari | 2–0 |
| 2024-02-02 | Palermo vs SSC Bari | 3–0 |
| 2023-08-18 | SSC Bari vs Palermo | 0–0 |
| 2023-01-20 | Palermo vs FC Bari 1908 | 1–0 |
| 2022-08-19 | FC Bari 1908 vs Palermo | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Palermo FC vs SSC Bari?
- Tofiko's model favours Palermo FC (57% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Palermo FC vs SSC Bari kick off?
- Fri, 19 Sep 2025 19:00 GMT — Italian Serie B.
- What is the Palermo FC vs SSC Bari head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 3 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.83 goals per game.