Beneventovs
Hellas Verona FCBenevento vs Hellas Verona FC Prediction, H2H & Form
Italian Serie BFri, 11 Sep 2026 19:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Benevento58%
- Benevento 58%
- Draw 20%
- Hellas Verona FC 22%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Benevento, rating it at 57.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Benevento won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 57.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Benevento's last 5 produced 22 goals — 4.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Hellas Verona FC's 5 produced 13, at 2.6 per game.
The model puts the draw at 20.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- Benevento's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 5 Sep 2026.
Benevento: DLLWD
Hellas Verona FC: WDLDL
Head-to-head
As of 5 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2021-03-03 | Benevento vs Hellas Verona | 0–3 |
| 2020-11-02 | Hellas Verona vs Benevento | 3–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Benevento vs Hellas Verona FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Benevento (58% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Benevento vs Hellas Verona FC kick off?
- Fri, 11 Sep 2026 19:00 GMT — Italian Serie B.
- What is the Benevento vs Hellas Verona FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.