Hellas Veronavs
BeneventoHellas Verona 3-1 Benevento — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie A 2020-2021Mon, 02 Nov 2020 19:45 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Hellas Verona52%
- Hellas Verona 52%
- Draw 24%
- Benevento 24%
The de-vigged market number is a PRO feature — free to start, PRO unlocks it.
Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Hellas Verona, rating it at 51.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Hellas Verona won all of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 51.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Benevento's last 5 produced 22 goals — 4.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Hellas Verona's 5 produced 13, at 2.6 per game.
The model puts the draw at 24.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Benevento's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 4 Sep 2026.
Hellas Verona: WDLDL
Benevento: DLLWD
Head-to-head
As of 4 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2021-03-03 | Benevento vs Hellas Verona | 0–3 |
| 2020-11-02 | Hellas Verona vs Benevento | 3–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Hellas Verona vs Benevento?
- Tofiko's model favours Hellas Verona (52% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Hellas Verona vs Benevento kick off?
- Mon, 02 Nov 2020 19:45 GMT — Italian Serie A 2020-2021.
- What is the Hellas Verona vs Benevento head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.