Cagliari crestCagliarivsModena crestModena

Cagliari 1-0 Modena — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie B 2022-2023Fri, 02 Sep 2022 18:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Cagliari50%

  • Cagliari 50%
  • Draw 25%
  • Modena 25%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Cagliari, rating it at 50.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and Cagliari won 1 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 50.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 24.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 6 Sep 2026.

Cagliari: LLWWD

Modena: WWLDW

Head-to-head

As of 6 Sep 2026.

  • 3Games
  • 1.33Avg goals
  • 0%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-07-28Cagliari Calcio vs Modena1–0
2023-02-03Modena vs Cagliari2–0
2022-09-02Cagliari vs Modena1–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Cagliari vs Modena?
Tofiko's model favours Cagliari (50% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Cagliari vs Modena kick off?
Fri, 02 Sep 2022 18:30 GMT — Italian Serie B 2022-2023.
What is the Cagliari vs Modena head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 3 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.33 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legModena 2-0 Cagliari3 Feb 2023 →