Modenavs
CagliariModena 2-0 Cagliari — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie B 2022-2023Fri, 03 Feb 2023 19:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Modena39%
- Modena 39%
- Draw 26%
- Cagliari 35%
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Create a free accountModel families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Modena, rating it at 39.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Modena won 1 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 39.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 25.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 6 Sep 2026.
Modena: WWLDW
Cagliari: LLWWD
Head-to-head
As of 6 Sep 2026.
- 3Games
- 1.33Avg goals
- 0%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | Cagliari Calcio vs Modena | 1–0 |
| 2023-02-03 | Modena vs Cagliari | 2–0 |
| 2022-09-02 | Cagliari vs Modena | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Modena vs Cagliari?
- Tofiko's model favours Modena (39% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Modena vs Cagliari kick off?
- Fri, 03 Feb 2023 19:30 GMT — Italian Serie B 2022-2023.
- What is the Modena vs Cagliari head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 3 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.33 goals per game.