Cagliari crestCagliarivsPalermo crestPalermo

Cagliari 2-1 Palermo — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie B 2022-2023Sat, 13 May 2023 12:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Cagliari45%

Tofiko45% / 24% / 31%
Market50% / 27% / 23%
  • Cagliari
  • Draw
  • Palermo

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Cagliari, rating it at 44.6% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Cagliari won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. Palermo's last 5 produced 21 goals — 4.2 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Cagliari's 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • Palermo's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 28 Sep 2026.

Cagliari: WWWLL

Palermo: WDWWW

Head-to-head

As of 28 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2023-05-13Cagliari vs Palermo2–1
2022-12-18Palermo vs Cagliari2–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Cagliari vs Palermo?
Tofiko's model favours Cagliari (45% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Cagliari vs Palermo kick off?
Sat, 13 May 2023 12:00 GMT — Italian Serie B 2022-2023.
What is the Cagliari vs Palermo head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.

First legPalermo 2-1 Cagliari18 Dec 2022 →