Palermovs
CagliariPalermo 2-1 Cagliari — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie B 2022-2023Sun, 18 Dec 2022 17:45 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Palermo46%
- Palermo 46%
- Draw 24%
- Cagliari 29%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Palermo, rating it at 46.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Palermo won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 46.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Palermo's last 5 produced 17 goals — 3.4 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 3. Cagliari's 5 produced 6, at 1.2 per game.
The model puts the draw at 24.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 5 Sep 2026.
Palermo: WWWWL
Cagliari: LLWWD
Head-to-head
As of 5 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-05-13 | Cagliari vs Palermo | 2–1 |
| 2022-12-18 | Palermo vs Cagliari | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Palermo vs Cagliari?
- Tofiko's model favours Palermo (46% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Palermo vs Cagliari kick off?
- Sun, 18 Dec 2022 17:45 GMT — Italian Serie B 2022-2023.
- What is the Palermo vs Cagliari head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.