US Catanzaro 1929 crestUS Catanzaro 1929vsModena crestModena

US Catanzaro 1929 2-2 Modena — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie BTue, 14 Apr 2026 17:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs US Catanzaro 192950%

  • US Catanzaro 1929 50%
  • Draw 24%
  • Modena 26%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick US Catanzaro 1929, rating it at 50.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and US Catanzaro 1929 won 1 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 50.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 23.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 5 Sep 2026.

US Catanzaro 1929: LLDWW

Modena: WWLDW

Head-to-head

As of 5 Sep 2026.

  • 4Games
  • 3.50Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-14US Catanzaro 1929 vs Modena2–2
2026-03-17US Catanzaro 1929 vs Modena
2025-12-08Modena vs US Catanzaro 19291–2
2024-04-12Modena vs U.S. Catanzaro 19291–3
2023-11-04U.S. Catanzaro 1929 vs Modena1–2

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FAQ

Who will win US Catanzaro 1929 vs Modena?
Tofiko's model favours US Catanzaro 1929 (50% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does US Catanzaro 1929 vs Modena kick off?
Tue, 14 Apr 2026 17:00 GMT — Italian Serie B.
What is the US Catanzaro 1929 vs Modena head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legModena 1-2 Catanzaro8 Dec 2025 →