Modena crestModenavsUS Catanzaro 1929 crestUS Catanzaro 1929

Modena 1-2 US Catanzaro 1929 — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie BMon, 08 Dec 2025 11:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Modena41%

  • Modena 41%
  • Draw 24%
  • US Catanzaro 1929 35%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Modena, rating it at 40.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and Modena won 1 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 40.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 24.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 5 Sep 2026.

Modena: WWLDW

US Catanzaro 1929: LLDWW

Head-to-head

As of 5 Sep 2026.

  • 4Games
  • 3.50Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-14US Catanzaro 1929 vs Modena2–2
2026-03-17US Catanzaro 1929 vs Modena
2025-12-08Modena vs US Catanzaro 19291–2
2024-04-12Modena vs U.S. Catanzaro 19291–3
2023-11-04U.S. Catanzaro 1929 vs Modena1–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Modena vs US Catanzaro 1929?
Tofiko's model favours Modena (41% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Modena vs US Catanzaro 1929 kick off?
Mon, 08 Dec 2025 11:30 GMT — Italian Serie B.
What is the Modena vs US Catanzaro 1929 head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legCatanzaro 2-2 Modena14 Apr 2026 →