US Catanzaro 1929 crestUS Catanzaro 1929vsCalcio Padova crestCalcio Padova

US Catanzaro 1929 0-1 Calcio Padova — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie BSun, 19 Oct 2025 17:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs US Catanzaro 192960%

  • US Catanzaro 1929 60%
  • Draw 22%
  • Calcio Padova 18%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick US Catanzaro 1929, rating it at 59.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and US Catanzaro 1929 won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 59.7% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 22.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 5 Sep 2026.

US Catanzaro 1929: LLDWW

Calcio Padova: DWLDW

Head-to-head

As of 5 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 2.50Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-03-14Calcio Padova vs US Catanzaro 19291–3
2025-10-19US Catanzaro 1929 vs Calcio Padova0–1

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FAQ

Who will win US Catanzaro 1929 vs Calcio Padova?
Tofiko's model favours US Catanzaro 1929 (60% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does US Catanzaro 1929 vs Calcio Padova kick off?
Sun, 19 Oct 2025 17:30 GMT — Italian Serie B.
What is the US Catanzaro 1929 vs Calcio Padova head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legPadova 1-3 Catanzaro14 Mar 2026 →