Calcio Padova 1-3 US Catanzaro 1929 — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie BSat, 14 Mar 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs US Catanzaro 192945%
- Calcio Padova 31%
- Draw 24%
- US Catanzaro 1929 45%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick US Catanzaro 1929, rating it at 44.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Calcio Padova won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 44.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 5 Sep 2026.
Calcio Padova: DWLDW
US Catanzaro 1929: LLDWW
Head-to-head
As of 5 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | Calcio Padova vs US Catanzaro 1929 | 1–3 |
| 2025-10-19 | US Catanzaro 1929 vs Calcio Padova | 0–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Calcio Padova vs US Catanzaro 1929?
- Tofiko's model favours US Catanzaro 1929 (45% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Calcio Padova vs US Catanzaro 1929 kick off?
- Sat, 14 Mar 2026 14:00 GMT — Italian Serie B.
- What is the Calcio Padova vs US Catanzaro 1929 head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.