Cesena FC crestCesena FCvsCalcio Padova crestCalcio Padova

Cesena FC 3-4 Calcio Padova — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie BFri, 08 May 2026 18:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Cesena FC50%

  • Cesena FC 50%
  • Draw 28%
  • Calcio Padova 22%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Cesena FC, rating it at 50.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Cesena FC won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 50.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 5 Sep 2026.

Cesena FC: WDLDW

Calcio Padova: DWLDW

Head-to-head

As of 5 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 4.50Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-08Cesena FC vs Calcio Padova3–4
2025-12-08Calcio Padova vs Cesena FC1–1

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FAQ

Who will win Cesena FC vs Calcio Padova?
Tofiko's model favours Cesena FC (50% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Cesena FC vs Calcio Padova kick off?
Fri, 08 May 2026 18:30 GMT — Italian Serie B.
What is the Cesena FC vs Calcio Padova head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 4.50 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legPadova 1-1 Cesena8 Dec 2025 →