Calcio Padovavs
Cesena FCCalcio Padova 1-1 Cesena FC — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie BMon, 08 Dec 2025 14:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Calcio Padova41%
- Calcio Padova 41%
- Draw 25%
- Cesena FC 34%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Calcio Padova, rating it at 41.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Calcio Padova won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 41.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 25.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 5 Sep 2026.
Calcio Padova: DWLDW
Cesena FC: WDLDW
Head-to-head
As of 5 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 4.50Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-08 | Cesena FC vs Calcio Padova | 3–4 |
| 2025-12-08 | Calcio Padova vs Cesena FC | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Calcio Padova vs Cesena FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Calcio Padova (41% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Calcio Padova vs Cesena FC kick off?
- Mon, 08 Dec 2025 14:00 GMT — Italian Serie B.
- What is the Calcio Padova vs Cesena FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 4.50 goals per game.