Cesena FC crestCesena FCvsUC Sampdoria crestUC Sampdoria

Cesena FC 1-1 UC Sampdoria — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie BSun, 23 Aug 2026 19:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Cesena FC41%

  • Cesena FC 41%
  • Draw 25%
  • UC Sampdoria 34%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Cesena FC, rating it at 40.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and Cesena FC won 1 of 3, with 2 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 40.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 24.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 5 Sep 2026.

Cesena FC: WDLDW

UC Sampdoria: LDLWL

Head-to-head

As of 5 Sep 2026.

  • 3Games
  • 1.67Avg goals
  • 67%Both scored
  • 33%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-23Cesena FC vs UC Sampdoria1–1
2026-04-25Cesena FC vs UC Sampdoria0–0
2025-09-13UC Sampdoria vs Cesena FC1–2

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FAQ

Who will win Cesena FC vs UC Sampdoria?
Tofiko's model favours Cesena FC (41% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Cesena FC vs UC Sampdoria kick off?
Sun, 23 Aug 2026 19:00 GMT — Italian Serie B.
What is the Cesena FC vs UC Sampdoria head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 0 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.67 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legSampdoria 1-2 Cesena13 Sept 2025 →