UC Sampdoria crestUC SampdoriavsCesena FC crestCesena FC

UC Sampdoria 1-2 Cesena FC — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie BSat, 13 Sep 2025 17:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs UC Sampdoria52%

  • UC Sampdoria 52%
  • Draw 23%
  • Cesena FC 25%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick UC Sampdoria, rating it at 51.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and UC Sampdoria won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 51.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 23.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 3 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 5 Sep 2026.

UC Sampdoria: LDLWL

Cesena FC: WDLDW

Head-to-head

As of 5 Sep 2026.

  • 3Games
  • 1.67Avg goals
  • 67%Both scored
  • 33%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-23Cesena FC vs UC Sampdoria1–1
2026-04-25Cesena FC vs UC Sampdoria0–0
2025-09-13UC Sampdoria vs Cesena FC1–2

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FAQ

Who will win UC Sampdoria vs Cesena FC?
Tofiko's model favours UC Sampdoria (52% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does UC Sampdoria vs Cesena FC kick off?
Sat, 13 Sep 2025 17:30 GMT — Italian Serie B.
What is the UC Sampdoria vs Cesena FC head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 0 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.67 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legCesena 1-1 Sampdoria23 Aug 2026 →