Cesena FC crestCesena FCvsSpezia Calcio crestSpezia Calcio

Cesena FC 2-3 Spezia Calcio — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie BSat, 21 Feb 2026 16:15 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Cesena FC44%

  • Cesena FC 44%
  • Draw 24%
  • Spezia Calcio 32%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Cesena FC, rating it at 44.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Cesena FC won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 44.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 24.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 5 Sep 2026.

Cesena FC: WDLDW

Spezia Calcio: WWDWD

Head-to-head

As of 5 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 4.00Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-02-21Cesena FC vs Spezia Calcio2–3
2025-10-18Spezia Calcio vs Cesena FC1–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Cesena FC vs Spezia Calcio?
Tofiko's model favours Cesena FC (44% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Cesena FC vs Spezia Calcio kick off?
Sat, 21 Feb 2026 16:15 GMT — Italian Serie B.
What is the Cesena FC vs Spezia Calcio head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legSpezia 1-2 Cesena18 Oct 2025 →