Spezia Calcio crestSpezia CalciovsCesena FC crestCesena FC

Spezia Calcio 1-2 Cesena FC — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie BSat, 18 Oct 2025 17:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Spezia Calcio47%

  • Spezia Calcio 47%
  • Draw 24%
  • Cesena FC 29%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Spezia Calcio, rating it at 47.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Spezia Calcio won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 47.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 23.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 5 Sep 2026.

Spezia Calcio: WWDWD

Cesena FC: WDLDW

Head-to-head

As of 5 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 4.00Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-02-21Cesena FC vs Spezia Calcio2–3
2025-10-18Spezia Calcio vs Cesena FC1–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Spezia Calcio vs Cesena FC?
Tofiko's model favours Spezia Calcio (47% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Spezia Calcio vs Cesena FC kick off?
Sat, 18 Oct 2025 17:30 GMT — Italian Serie B.
What is the Spezia Calcio vs Cesena FC head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legCesena 2-3 Spezia21 Feb 2026 →