Spezia Calcio 1-2 Cesena FC — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie BSat, 18 Oct 2025 17:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Spezia Calcio47%
- Spezia Calcio 47%
- Draw 24%
- Cesena FC 29%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Spezia Calcio, rating it at 47.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Spezia Calcio won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 47.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 23.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 5 Sep 2026.
Spezia Calcio: WWDWD
Cesena FC: WDLDW
Head-to-head
As of 5 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 4.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-21 | Cesena FC vs Spezia Calcio | 2–3 |
| 2025-10-18 | Spezia Calcio vs Cesena FC | 1–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Spezia Calcio vs Cesena FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Spezia Calcio (47% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Spezia Calcio vs Cesena FC kick off?
- Sat, 18 Oct 2025 17:30 GMT — Italian Serie B.
- What is the Spezia Calcio vs Cesena FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.