Empoli FC crestEmpoli FCvsMantova 1911 crestMantova 1911

Empoli FC 2-2 Mantova 1911 — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie BSat, 14 Mar 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Empoli FC58%

  • Empoli FC 58%
  • Draw 22%
  • Mantova 1911 21%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Empoli FC, rating it at 57.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and Empoli FC won 1 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 57.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 21.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 5 Sep 2026.

Empoli FC: LWDDD

Mantova 1911: LWWWL

Head-to-head

As of 5 Sep 2026.

  • 3Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 67%Both scored
  • 67%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-30Mantova 1911 vs Empoli FC3–1
2026-03-14Empoli FC vs Mantova 19112–2
2025-12-21Mantova 1911 vs Empoli FC0–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Empoli FC vs Mantova 1911?
Tofiko's model favours Empoli FC (58% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Empoli FC vs Mantova 1911 kick off?
Sat, 14 Mar 2026 14:00 GMT — Italian Serie B.
What is the Empoli FC vs Mantova 1911 head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legMantova 3-1 Empoli30 Aug 2026 →