Mantova 1911 crestMantova 1911vsEmpoli FC crestEmpoli FC

Mantova 1911 3-1 Empoli FC — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie BSun, 30 Aug 2026 17:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Empoli FC40%

  • Mantova 1911 37%
  • Draw 23%
  • Empoli FC 40%
Market implied probability

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Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Empoli FC, rating it at 39.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and Mantova 1911 won 1 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 39.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 23.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 5 Sep 2026.

Mantova 1911: LWWWL

Empoli FC: LWDDD

Head-to-head

As of 5 Sep 2026.

  • 3Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 67%Both scored
  • 67%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-30Mantova 1911 vs Empoli FC3–1
2026-03-14Empoli FC vs Mantova 19112–2
2025-12-21Mantova 1911 vs Empoli FC0–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Mantova 1911 vs Empoli FC?
Tofiko's model favours Empoli FC (40% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Mantova 1911 vs Empoli FC kick off?
Sun, 30 Aug 2026 17:00 GMT — Italian Serie B.
What is the Mantova 1911 vs Empoli FC head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legEmpoli 2-2 Mantova14 Mar 2026 →