Mantova 1911 crestMantova 1911vsModena crestModena

Mantova 1911 1-3 Modena — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie BSat, 20 Sep 2025 17:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Modena39%

  • Mantova 1911 36%
  • Draw 25%
  • Modena 39%
Market implied probability

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Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Modena, rating it at 39.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Mantova 1911 won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 39.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 25.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 5 Sep 2026.

Mantova 1911: LWWWL

Modena: WWLDW

Head-to-head

As of 5 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 3.50Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-03-21Modena vs Mantova 19112–1
2025-09-20Mantova 1911 vs Modena1–3

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Mantova 1911 vs Modena?
Tofiko's model favours Modena (39% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Mantova 1911 vs Modena kick off?
Sat, 20 Sep 2025 17:30 GMT — Italian Serie B.
What is the Mantova 1911 vs Modena head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legModena 2-1 Mantova21 Mar 2026 →