Modenavs
Mantova 1911Modena 2-1 Mantova 1911 — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie BSat, 21 Mar 2026 18:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Modena54%
- Modena 54%
- Draw 24%
- Mantova 1911 22%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Modena, rating it at 54.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Modena won all of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 54.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 23.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 5 Sep 2026.
Modena: WWLDW
Mantova 1911: LWWWL
Head-to-head
As of 5 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | Modena vs Mantova 1911 | 2–1 |
| 2025-09-20 | Mantova 1911 vs Modena | 1–3 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Modena vs Mantova 1911?
- Tofiko's model favours Modena (54% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Modena vs Mantova 1911 kick off?
- Sat, 21 Mar 2026 18:30 GMT — Italian Serie B.
- What is the Modena vs Mantova 1911 head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.