Mantova 1911 1-1 Palermo FC — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie BSun, 11 Jan 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Palermo FC47%
- Mantova 1911 29%
- Draw 23%
- Palermo FC 47%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Palermo FC, rating it at 47.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Mantova 1911 won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 47.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 23.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 5 Sep 2026.
Mantova 1911: LWWWL
Palermo FC: WWWWL
Head-to-head
As of 5 Sep 2026.
- 3Games
- 4.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Palermo FC vs Mantova 1911 | 5–2 |
| 2026-03-04 | Palermo FC vs Mantova 1911 | 2–1 |
| 2026-01-11 | Mantova 1911 vs Palermo FC | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Mantova 1911 vs Palermo FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Palermo FC (47% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Mantova 1911 vs Palermo FC kick off?
- Sun, 11 Jan 2026 14:00 GMT — Italian Serie B.
- What is the Mantova 1911 vs Palermo FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.