Palermo FC crestPalermo FCvsMantova 1911 crestMantova 1911

Palermo FC 2-1 Mantova 1911 — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie BWed, 04 Mar 2026 19:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Palermo FC62%

  • Palermo FC 62%
  • Draw 21%
  • Mantova 1911 17%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Palermo FC, rating it at 62.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and Palermo FC won 2 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 62.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 21.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 5 Sep 2026.

Palermo FC: WWWWL

Mantova 1911: LWWWL

Head-to-head

As of 5 Sep 2026.

  • 3Games
  • 4.00Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 67%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-03Palermo FC vs Mantova 19115–2
2026-03-04Palermo FC vs Mantova 19112–1
2026-01-11Mantova 1911 vs Palermo FC1–1

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FAQ

Who will win Palermo FC vs Mantova 1911?
Tofiko's model favours Palermo FC (62% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Palermo FC vs Mantova 1911 kick off?
Wed, 04 Mar 2026 19:00 GMT — Italian Serie B.
What is the Palermo FC vs Mantova 1911 head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.

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First legMantova 1-1 Palermo11 Jan 2026 →