Modena crestModenavsPalermo FC crestPalermo FC

Modena 0-0 Palermo FC — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie BSat, 24 Jan 2026 16:15 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Modena38%

  • Modena 38%
  • Draw 25%
  • Palermo FC 37%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Modena, rating it at 38.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 6 times, and Modena won none of them. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 24.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 5 Sep 2026.

Modena: WWLDW

Palermo FC: WWWWL

Head-to-head

As of 5 Sep 2026.

  • 6Games
  • 3.17Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 33%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-01-24Modena vs Palermo FC0–0
2025-10-19Palermo FC vs Modena1–1
2024-01-20Palermo vs Modena4–2
2023-10-07Modena vs Palermo0–2
2023-03-17Palermo vs Modena5–2
2022-10-29Modena vs Palermo0–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Modena vs Palermo FC?
Tofiko's model favours Modena (38% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Modena vs Palermo FC kick off?
Sat, 24 Jan 2026 16:15 GMT — Italian Serie B.
What is the Modena vs Palermo FC head-to-head record?
In their last 6 meetings: 2 home wins, 2 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.17 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legPalermo 1-1 Modena19 Oct 2025 →