Palermo FC crestPalermo FCvsModena crestModena

Palermo FC 1-1 Modena — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie BSun, 19 Oct 2025 13:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Palermo FC52%

Tofiko52% / 24% / 24%
Market45% / 29% / 26%
  • Palermo FC
  • Draw
  • Modena

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Palermo FC, rating it at 52.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 6 times, and Palermo FC won none of them. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

They arrive from very different football. Palermo FC's last 5 produced 21 goals — 4.2 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Modena's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • Palermo FC's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 28 Sep 2026.

Palermo FC: WDWWW

Modena: WDLWW

Head-to-head

As of 28 Sep 2026.

  • 6Games
  • 3.17Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 33%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-01-24Modena vs Palermo FC0–0
2025-10-19Palermo FC vs Modena1–1
2024-01-20Palermo vs Modena4–2
2023-10-07Modena vs Palermo0–2
2023-03-17Palermo vs Modena5–2
2022-10-29Modena vs Palermo0–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Palermo FC vs Modena?
Tofiko's model favours Palermo FC (52% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Palermo FC vs Modena kick off?
Sun, 19 Oct 2025 13:00 GMT — Italian Serie B.
What is the Palermo FC vs Modena head-to-head record?
In their last 6 meetings: 2 home wins, 2 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.17 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legModena 0-0 Palermo24 Jan 2026 →