Modenavs
Spezia CalcioModena 3-0 Spezia Calcio — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie BFri, 13 Mar 2026 19:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Modena49%
- Modena 49%
- Draw 25%
- Spezia Calcio 25%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Modena, rating it at 49.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Modena won 2 of 4, with 2 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 49.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 25.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 5 Sep 2026.
Modena: WWLDW
Spezia Calcio: WWDWD
Head-to-head
As of 5 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 1.75Avg goals
- 25%Both scored
- 25%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-13 | Modena vs Spezia Calcio | 3–0 |
| 2025-12-13 | Spezia Calcio vs Modena | 0–2 |
| 2024-02-25 | Modena vs Spezia | 0–0 |
| 2023-12-26 | Spezia vs Modena | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Modena vs Spezia Calcio?
- Tofiko's model favours Modena (49% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Modena vs Spezia Calcio kick off?
- Fri, 13 Mar 2026 19:30 GMT — Italian Serie B.
- What is the Modena vs Spezia Calcio head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.75 goals per game.