Spezia Calciovs
ModenaSpezia Calcio 0-2 Modena — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie BSat, 13 Dec 2025 14:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Spezia Calcio40%
- Spezia Calcio 40%
- Draw 26%
- Modena 35%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Spezia Calcio, rating it at 39.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Spezia Calcio won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 39.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 25.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 4 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 5 Sep 2026.
Spezia Calcio: WWDWD
Modena: WWLDW
Head-to-head
As of 5 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 1.75Avg goals
- 25%Both scored
- 25%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-13 | Modena vs Spezia Calcio | 3–0 |
| 2025-12-13 | Spezia Calcio vs Modena | 0–2 |
| 2024-02-25 | Modena vs Spezia | 0–0 |
| 2023-12-26 | Spezia vs Modena | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Spezia Calcio vs Modena?
- Tofiko's model favours Spezia Calcio (40% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Spezia Calcio vs Modena kick off?
- Sat, 13 Dec 2025 14:00 GMT — Italian Serie B.
- What is the Spezia Calcio vs Modena head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.75 goals per game.