Calcio Padovavs
UC SampdoriaCalcio Padova 1-1 UC Sampdoria — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie BSat, 20 Dec 2025 14:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs UC Sampdoria39%
- Calcio Padova 35%
- Draw 26%
- UC Sampdoria 39%
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Create a free accountModel families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks UC Sampdoria, rating it at 38.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Calcio Padova won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 38.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 26.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 5 Sep 2026.
Calcio Padova: DWLDW
UC Sampdoria: LDLWL
Head-to-head
As of 5 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 1.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-14 | UC Sampdoria vs Calcio Padova | 1–0 |
| 2025-12-20 | Calcio Padova vs UC Sampdoria | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Calcio Padova vs UC Sampdoria?
- Tofiko's model favours UC Sampdoria (39% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Calcio Padova vs UC Sampdoria kick off?
- Sat, 20 Dec 2025 14:00 GMT — Italian Serie B.
- What is the Calcio Padova vs UC Sampdoria head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.