UC Sampdoria 1-0 Calcio Padova — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie BSat, 14 Feb 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs UC Sampdoria54%
- UC Sampdoria 54%
- Draw 24%
- Calcio Padova 22%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick UC Sampdoria, rating it at 53.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and UC Sampdoria won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 53.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 5 Sep 2026.
UC Sampdoria: LDLWL
Calcio Padova: DWLDW
Head-to-head
As of 5 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 1.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-14 | UC Sampdoria vs Calcio Padova | 1–0 |
| 2025-12-20 | Calcio Padova vs UC Sampdoria | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win UC Sampdoria vs Calcio Padova?
- Tofiko's model favours UC Sampdoria (54% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does UC Sampdoria vs Calcio Padova kick off?
- Sat, 14 Feb 2026 14:00 GMT — Italian Serie B.
- What is the UC Sampdoria vs Calcio Padova head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.