Palermo crestPalermovsAC Pisa crestAC Pisa

Palermo 3-2 AC Pisa — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie B 2023-2024Sat, 16 Dec 2023 15:15 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Palermo54%

  • Palermo 54%
  • Draw 23%
  • AC Pisa 23%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Palermo, rating it at 53.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and Palermo won 1 of 4, with 2 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 53.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 23.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 5 Sep 2026.

Palermo: WWWWL

AC Pisa: WLDWL

Head-to-head

As of 5 Sep 2026.

  • 4Games
  • 5.00Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 75%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2024-04-01AC Pisa vs Palermo4–3
2023-12-16Palermo vs AC Pisa3–2
2023-03-04Pisa vs Palermo1–1
2022-10-15Palermo vs Pisa3–3

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Palermo vs AC Pisa?
Tofiko's model favours Palermo (54% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Palermo vs AC Pisa kick off?
Sat, 16 Dec 2023 15:15 GMT — Italian Serie B 2023-2024.
What is the Palermo vs AC Pisa head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 5.00 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legPisa 4-3 Palermo1 Apr 2024 →