AC Pisa crestAC PisavsPalermo crestPalermo

AC Pisa 4-3 Palermo — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie B 2023-2024Mon, 01 Apr 2024 13:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Palermo39%

  • AC Pisa 37%
  • Draw 24%
  • Palermo 39%
Market implied probability

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Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Palermo, rating it at 38.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and AC Pisa won 1 of 4, with 2 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 38.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 24.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 5 Sep 2026.

AC Pisa: WLDWL

Palermo: WWWWL

Head-to-head

As of 5 Sep 2026.

  • 4Games
  • 5.00Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 75%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2024-04-01AC Pisa vs Palermo4–3
2023-12-16Palermo vs AC Pisa3–2
2023-03-04Pisa vs Palermo1–1
2022-10-15Palermo vs Pisa3–3

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win AC Pisa vs Palermo?
Tofiko's model favours Palermo (39% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does AC Pisa vs Palermo kick off?
Mon, 01 Apr 2024 13:00 GMT — Italian Serie B 2023-2024.
What is the AC Pisa vs Palermo head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 5.00 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legPalermo 3-2 Pisa16 Dec 2023 →