Heart of Midlothian F.C. vs St Mirren F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
Scottish PremiershipSat, 30 Jan 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Heart of Midlothian F.C.64%
- Heart of Midlothian F.C.
- Draw
- St Mirren F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Heart of Midlothian F.C. or draw86%
- Draw or St Mirren F.C.36%
- Heart of Midlothian F.C. or St Mirren F.C.78%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.547%
- Under 2.553%
Both teams to score
- Heart of Midlothian F.C., last 10 home games6 of 10
- St Mirren F.C., last 10 away games3 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (239 games)49%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Heart of Midlothian F.C., rating it at 63.6% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 9 times, and Heart of Midlothian F.C. won 4 of 9, with 1 drawn. Across 9 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 111 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Heart of Midlothian F.C.: WDLW
St Mirren F.C.: LLLLW
Head-to-head
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 111 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 9Games
- 3.11Avg goals
- 44%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | Heart of Midlothian F.C. vs St Mirren F.C. | 5–0 |
| 2026-02-03 | St Mirren F.C. vs Heart of Midlothian F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2026-01-14 | Heart of Midlothian F.C. vs St Mirren F.C. | 2–0 |
| 2025-10-29 | St Mirren F.C. vs Heart of Midlothian F.C. | 2–2 |
| 2025-02-26 | Heart of Midlothian F.C. vs St. Mirren | 3–1 |
| 2024-10-19 | Heart of Midlothian F.C. vs St. Mirren | 4–0 |
| 2024-09-21 | St. Mirren vs Heart of Midlothian F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2024-05-15 | St. Mirren vs Heart of Midlothian FC | — |
| 2024-04-06 | St. Mirren vs Heart of Midlothian FC | 1–2 |
| 2023-12-23 | Heart of Midlothian FC vs St. Mirren | 2–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Heart of Midlothian F.C. vs St Mirren F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Heart of Midlothian F.C. (64% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Heart of Midlothian F.C. vs St Mirren F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 30 Jan 2027 15:00 GMT — Scottish Premiership.
- What is the Heart of Midlothian F.C. vs St Mirren F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 9 meetings: 7 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.11 goals per game.