St Mirren F.C.vs
Heart of Midlothian F.C.St Mirren F.C. vs Heart of Midlothian F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
Scottish PremiershipSat, 05 Dec 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Heart of Midlothian F.C.48%
- St Mirren F.C.
- Draw
- Heart of Midlothian F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- St Mirren F.C. or draw52%
- Draw or Heart of Midlothian F.C.73%
- St Mirren F.C. or Heart of Midlothian F.C.75%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.542%
- Under 2.558%
Both teams to score
- St Mirren F.C., last 10 home games4 of 10
- Heart of Midlothian F.C., last 10 away games7 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (239 games)49%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Heart of Midlothian F.C., rating it at 48.2% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 9 times, and St Mirren F.C. won 1 of 9, with 1 drawn. Across 9 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 11 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 55 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
St Mirren F.C.: LLLLW
Heart of Midlothian F.C.: WDLW
Head-to-head
As of 11 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 55 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 9Games
- 3.11Avg goals
- 44%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | Heart of Midlothian F.C. vs St Mirren F.C. | 5–0 |
| 2026-02-03 | St Mirren F.C. vs Heart of Midlothian F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2026-01-14 | Heart of Midlothian F.C. vs St Mirren F.C. | 2–0 |
| 2025-10-29 | St Mirren F.C. vs Heart of Midlothian F.C. | 2–2 |
| 2025-02-26 | Heart of Midlothian F.C. vs St. Mirren | 3–1 |
| 2024-10-19 | Heart of Midlothian F.C. vs St. Mirren | 4–0 |
| 2024-09-21 | St. Mirren vs Heart of Midlothian F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2024-05-15 | St. Mirren vs Heart of Midlothian FC | — |
| 2024-04-06 | St. Mirren vs Heart of Midlothian FC | 1–2 |
| 2023-12-23 | Heart of Midlothian FC vs St. Mirren | 2–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win St Mirren F.C. vs Heart of Midlothian F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Heart of Midlothian F.C. (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does St Mirren F.C. vs Heart of Midlothian F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 05 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT — Scottish Premiership.
- What is the St Mirren F.C. vs Heart of Midlothian F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 9 meetings: 7 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.11 goals per game.