Motherwell FCvs
Kilmarnock FCMotherwell FC vs Kilmarnock FC Prediction, H2H & Form
Scottish PremiershipSat, 05 Dec 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Motherwell FC55%
- Motherwell FC
- Draw
- Kilmarnock FC
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Motherwell FC or draw78%
- Draw or Kilmarnock FC45%
- Motherwell FC or Kilmarnock FC77%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.551%
- Under 2.549%
Both teams to score
- Motherwell FC, last 10 home games4 of 10
- Kilmarnock FC, last 10 away games4 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (239 games)49%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Motherwell FC, rating it at 54.6% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Motherwell FC won 3 of 10, with 5 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 55 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Motherwell FC: LLLLW
Kilmarnock FC: LDWDD
Head-to-head
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 55 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.40Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 40%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | Motherwell FC vs Kilmarnock FC | 4–0 |
| 2025-11-22 | Kilmarnock FC vs Motherwell FC | 1–3 |
| 2025-08-30 | Motherwell FC vs Kilmarnock FC | 2–2 |
| 2025-04-05 | Kilmarnock FC vs Motherwell FC | 2–0 |
| 2025-01-08 | Kilmarnock FC vs Motherwell FC | 0–0 |
| 2024-12-20 | Motherwell FC vs Kilmarnock FC | 1–1 |
| 2024-02-03 | Motherwell FC vs Kilmarnock | 1–1 |
| 2023-11-04 | Kilmarnock vs Motherwell FC | 1–0 |
| 2023-08-26 | Motherwell FC vs Kilmarnock | 2–1 |
| 2023-02-25 | Kilmarnock vs Motherwell FC | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Motherwell FC vs Kilmarnock FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Motherwell FC (55% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Motherwell FC vs Kilmarnock FC kick off?
- Sat, 05 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT — Scottish Premiership.
- What is the Motherwell FC vs Kilmarnock FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 5 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.40 goals per game.