1. FC Koln crest1. FC KolnvsBayer 04 Leverkusen crestBayer 04 Leverkusen

1. FC Koln vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen Prediction, H2H & Form

German BundesligaSun, 08 Nov 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win60%

1X2: model backs Bayer 04 Leverkusen at 60%.

Tofiko16% / 24% / 60%
  • 1. FC Koln
  • Draw
  • Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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More markets

Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • 1. FC Koln or draw40%
  • Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen84%
  • 1. FC Koln or Bayer 04 Leverkusen76%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.558%
  • Under 2.542%

Both teams to score

  • 1. FC Koln, last 10 home games10 of 10
  • Bayer 04 Leverkusen, last 10 away games8 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (297 games)63%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick Bayer 04 Leverkusen, rating it at 59.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and 1. FC Koln won 2 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 26 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

1. FC Koln: WDLDL

Bayer 04 Leverkusen: WWWDW

Head-to-head

As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 26 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 2.80Avg goals
  • 40%Both scored
  • 70%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-251. FC Koln vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen1–2
2025-12-13Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1. FC Koln2–0
2024-03-031. FC Koln vs Bayer Leverkusen0–2
2023-10-08Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Koln3–0
2023-05-05Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Koln1–2
2022-11-091. FC Koln vs Bayer Leverkusen1–2
2022-03-13Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Koln0–1
2021-10-241. FC Koln vs Bayer Leverkusen2–2
2021-04-17Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Koln3–0
2020-12-161. FC Koln vs Bayer Leverkusen0–4

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win 1. FC Koln vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen?
Tofiko's model favours Bayer 04 Leverkusen (60% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does 1. FC Koln vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen kick off?
Sun, 08 Nov 2026 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
What is the 1. FC Koln vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 6 away wins, averaging 2.80 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureBayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Köln13 Mar 2027 →