1. FC Kolnvs
Bayer 04 Leverkusen1. FC Koln vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen Prediction, H2H & Stats
German BundesligaSat, 07 Nov 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Bayer 04 Leverkusen60%
- 1. FC Koln 16%
- Draw 24%
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen 60%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Bayer 04 Leverkusen, rating it at 59.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and 1. FC Koln won 2 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 23.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- 1. FC Koln's games are very high-scoring at 5.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
1. FC Koln: DWLLD
Bayer 04 Leverkusen: WWWWD
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 2.80Avg goals
- 40%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | 1. FC Koln vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 1–2 |
| 2025-12-13 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1. FC Koln | 2–0 |
| 2024-03-03 | 1. FC Koln vs Bayer Leverkusen | 0–2 |
| 2023-10-08 | Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Koln | 3–0 |
| 2023-05-05 | Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Koln | 1–2 |
| 2022-11-09 | 1. FC Koln vs Bayer Leverkusen | 1–2 |
| 2022-03-13 | Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Koln | 0–1 |
| 2021-10-24 | 1. FC Koln vs Bayer Leverkusen | 2–2 |
| 2021-04-17 | Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Koln | 3–0 |
| 2020-12-16 | 1. FC Koln vs Bayer Leverkusen | 0–4 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win 1. FC Koln vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen?
- Tofiko's model favours Bayer 04 Leverkusen (60% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does 1. FC Koln vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen kick off?
- Sat, 07 Nov 2026 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the 1. FC Koln vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 6 away wins, averaging 2.80 goals per game.