1. FC Koln vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen Prediction, H2H & Form
German BundesligaSun, 08 Nov 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win60%
1X2: model backs Bayer 04 Leverkusen at 60%.
- 1. FC Koln
- Draw
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- 1. FC Koln or draw40%
- Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen84%
- 1. FC Koln or Bayer 04 Leverkusen76%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.558%
- Under 2.542%
Both teams to score
- 1. FC Koln, last 10 home games10 of 10
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen, last 10 away games8 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (297 games)63%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Bayer 04 Leverkusen, rating it at 59.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and 1. FC Koln won 2 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 26 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
1. FC Koln: WDLDL
Bayer 04 Leverkusen: WWWDW
Head-to-head
As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 26 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.80Avg goals
- 40%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | 1. FC Koln vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 1–2 |
| 2025-12-13 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1. FC Koln | 2–0 |
| 2024-03-03 | 1. FC Koln vs Bayer Leverkusen | 0–2 |
| 2023-10-08 | Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Koln | 3–0 |
| 2023-05-05 | Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Koln | 1–2 |
| 2022-11-09 | 1. FC Koln vs Bayer Leverkusen | 1–2 |
| 2022-03-13 | Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Koln | 0–1 |
| 2021-10-24 | 1. FC Koln vs Bayer Leverkusen | 2–2 |
| 2021-04-17 | Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Koln | 3–0 |
| 2020-12-16 | 1. FC Koln vs Bayer Leverkusen | 0–4 |
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FAQ
- Who will win 1. FC Koln vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen?
- Tofiko's model favours Bayer 04 Leverkusen (60% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does 1. FC Koln vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen kick off?
- Sun, 08 Nov 2026 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the 1. FC Koln vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 6 away wins, averaging 2.80 goals per game.