1.FSV Mainz 05vs
FC Bayern Munich1.FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern Munich Prediction, H2H & Form
German BundesligaSat, 07 Nov 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
FC Bayern Munich to win68%
1X2: model backs FC Bayern Munich at 68%.
- 1.FSV Mainz 05
- Draw
- FC Bayern Munich
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- 1.FSV Mainz 05 or draw32%
- Draw or FC Bayern Munich87%
- 1.FSV Mainz 05 or FC Bayern Munich81%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.570%
- Under 2.530%
Both teams to score
- 1.FSV Mainz 05, last 10 home games6 of 10
- FC Bayern Munich, last 10 away games8 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (297 games)63%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Bayern Munich, rating it at 68.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and 1.FSV Mainz 05 won 3 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- 1.FSV Mainz 05's games are very high-scoring at 5.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 25 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
1.FSV Mainz 05: LWWLW
FC Bayern Munich: DWWWD
Head-to-head
As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 25 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 4.90Avg goals
- 90%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern Munich | 3–4 |
| 2025-12-14 | FC Bayern Munich vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 2–2 |
| 2025-04-26 | FC Bayern Munich vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 3–0 |
| 2024-12-14 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern Munich | 2–1 |
| 2024-03-09 | Bayern Munich vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 8–1 |
| 2023-10-21 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern Munich | 1–3 |
| 2023-04-22 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern Munich | 3–1 |
| 2022-10-29 | Bayern Munich vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 6–2 |
| 2022-04-30 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern Munich | 3–1 |
| 2021-12-11 | Bayern Munich vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 2–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern Munich?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Bayern Munich (68% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern Munich kick off?
- Sat, 07 Nov 2026 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern Munich head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 7 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 4.90 goals per game.