1.FSV Mainz 05vs
FC Bayern Munich1.FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern Munich Prediction, H2H & Stats
German BundesligaSat, 07 Nov 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Bayern Munich68%
- 1.FSV Mainz 05 13%
- Draw 19%
- FC Bayern Munich 68%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Bayern Munich, rating it at 68.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and 1.FSV Mainz 05 won 3 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. 1.FSV Mainz 05's last 5 produced 25 goals — 5.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 2. FC Bayern Munich's 5 produced 15, at 3.0 per game.
The model puts the draw at 19.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- 1.FSV Mainz 05's games are very high-scoring at 5.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
1.FSV Mainz 05: DWWWW
FC Bayern Munich: LWWWD
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 4.90Avg goals
- 90%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern Munich | 3–4 |
| 2025-12-14 | FC Bayern Munich vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 2–2 |
| 2025-04-26 | FC Bayern Munich vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 3–0 |
| 2024-12-14 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern Munich | 2–1 |
| 2024-03-09 | Bayern Munich vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 8–1 |
| 2023-10-21 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern Munich | 1–3 |
| 2023-04-22 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern Munich | 3–1 |
| 2022-10-29 | Bayern Munich vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 6–2 |
| 2022-04-30 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern Munich | 3–1 |
| 2021-12-11 | Bayern Munich vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 2–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern Munich?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Bayern Munich (68% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern Munich kick off?
- Sat, 07 Nov 2026 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern Munich head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 7 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 4.90 goals per game.