1. FC Kolnvs
Hertha BSC Berlin1. FC Koln 5-2 Hertha BSC Berlin — Result, H2H & Form
German Bundesliga 2022-2023Fri, 12 May 2023 18:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs 1. FC Koln51%
- 1. FC Koln 51%
- Draw 24%
- Hertha BSC Berlin 26%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick 1. FC Koln, rating it at 50.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 7 times, and 1. FC Koln won 3 of 7, with 3 drawn. Across 7 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 23.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- 1. FC Koln's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
1. FC Koln: WWWDW
Hertha BSC Berlin: WDWWD
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 7Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 57%Both scored
- 57%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | 1. FC Koln vs Hertha BSC | 2–2 |
| 2023-05-12 | 1. FC Koln vs Hertha BSC Berlin | 5–2 |
| 2022-11-12 | Hertha BSC Berlin vs 1. FC Koln | 2–0 |
| 2022-01-09 | Hertha BSC Berlin vs 1. FC Koln | 1–3 |
| 2021-08-15 | 1. FC Koln vs Hertha BSC Berlin | 3–1 |
| 2021-05-15 | Hertha BSC Berlin vs 1. FC Koln | 0–0 |
| 2021-01-16 | 1. FC Koln vs Hertha BSC Berlin | 0–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win 1. FC Koln vs Hertha BSC Berlin?
- Tofiko's model favours 1. FC Koln (51% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does 1. FC Koln vs Hertha BSC Berlin kick off?
- Fri, 12 May 2023 18:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2022-2023.
- What is the 1. FC Koln vs Hertha BSC Berlin head-to-head record?
- In their last 7 meetings: 3 home wins, 3 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.