Borussia Dortmund crestBorussia DortmundvsSV Werder Bremen crestSV Werder Bremen

Borussia Dortmund vs SV Werder Bremen Prediction, H2H & Form

German BundesligaFri, 09 Oct 2026 18:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Borussia Dortmund71%

Tofiko71% / 18% / 11%
Market73% / 16% / 11%
  • Borussia Dortmund
  • Draw
  • SV Werder Bremen

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Borussia Dortmund, rating it at 70.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Borussia Dortmund won 7 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

What to keep in mind

  • SV Werder Bremen's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 8 Oct 2026.

Borussia Dortmund: WWWWW

SV Werder Bremen: LWDWL

Head-to-head

As of 8 Oct 2026.

  • 10Games
  • 2.80Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 60%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-16SV Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund0–2
2026-01-13Borussia Dortmund vs SV Werder Bremen3–0
2025-01-25Borussia Dortmund vs SV Werder Bremen2–2
2024-08-31SV Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund0–0
2024-03-09Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund1–2
2023-10-20Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen1–0
2023-02-11Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund0–2
2022-08-20Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen2–3
2021-04-18Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen4–1
2020-12-15Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund1–2

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FAQ

Who will win Borussia Dortmund vs SV Werder Bremen?
Tofiko's model favours Borussia Dortmund (71% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Borussia Dortmund vs SV Werder Bremen kick off?
Fri, 09 Oct 2026 18:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
What is the Borussia Dortmund vs SV Werder Bremen head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 2 draws, 5 away wins, averaging 2.80 goals per game.

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Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureWerder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund20 Feb 2027 →