Borussia Dortmundvs
SV Werder BremenBorussia Dortmund 2-2 SV Werder Bremen — Result, H2H & Form
German BundesligaFri, 09 Oct 2026 18:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Borussia Dortmund70%
Tofiko70% / 18% / 12%
Market74% / 16% / 11%
- Borussia Dortmund
- Draw
- SV Werder Bremen
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Borussia Dortmund, rating it at 70.4% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Borussia Dortmund won 6 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
- SV Werder Bremen's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 13 Oct 2026.
Borussia Dortmund: DWWWW
SV Werder Bremen: DLWDW
Head-to-head
As of 13 Oct 2026.
- 10Games
- 2.90Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 60%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Borussia Dortmund vs SV Werder Bremen | 2–2 |
| 2026-05-16 | SV Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund | 0–2 |
| 2026-01-13 | Borussia Dortmund vs SV Werder Bremen | 3–0 |
| 2025-01-25 | Borussia Dortmund vs SV Werder Bremen | 2–2 |
| 2024-08-31 | SV Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund | 0–0 |
| 2024-03-09 | Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund | 1–2 |
| 2023-10-20 | Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen | 1–0 |
| 2023-02-11 | Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund | 0–2 |
| 2022-08-20 | Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen | 2–3 |
| 2021-04-18 | Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen | 4–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Borussia Dortmund vs SV Werder Bremen?
- Tofiko's model favours Borussia Dortmund (70% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Borussia Dortmund vs SV Werder Bremen kick off?
- Fri, 09 Oct 2026 18:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the Borussia Dortmund vs SV Werder Bremen head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 3 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 2.90 goals per game.