Bayer 04 Leverkusenvs
RB LeipzigBayer 04 Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig Prediction, H2H & Stats
German BundesligaSat, 19 Sep 2026 13:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Bayer 04 Leverkusen48%
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen 48%
- Draw 28%
- RB Leipzig 25%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Bayer 04 Leverkusen, rating it at 47.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Bayer 04 Leverkusen won 2 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Bayer 04 Leverkusen: WWWWD
RB Leipzig: WWLLW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.70Avg goals
- 70%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig | 4–1 |
| 2025-12-20 | RB Leipzig vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 1–3 |
| 2025-01-25 | RB Leipzig vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 2–2 |
| 2024-08-31 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig | 2–3 |
| 2024-01-20 | RB Leipzig vs Bayer Leverkusen | 2–3 |
| 2023-08-19 | Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig | 3–2 |
| 2023-04-23 | Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig | 2–0 |
| 2022-10-29 | RB Leipzig vs Bayer Leverkusen | 2–0 |
| 2022-04-17 | Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig | 0–1 |
| 2021-11-28 | RB Leipzig vs Bayer Leverkusen | 1–3 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig?
- Tofiko's model favours Bayer 04 Leverkusen (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig kick off?
- Sat, 19 Sep 2026 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 1 draws, 5 away wins, averaging 3.70 goals per game.