1. FC Koln crest1. FC KolnvsSV Darmstadt 98 crestSV Darmstadt 98

1. FC Koln 0-2 SV Darmstadt 98 — Result, H2H & Form

German Bundesliga 2023-2024Sat, 20 Apr 2024 13:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs 1. FC Koln64%

  • 1. FC Koln 64%
  • Draw 20%
  • SV Darmstadt 98 16%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick 1. FC Koln, rating it at 64.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and 1. FC Koln won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 64.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

They arrive from very different football. 1. FC Koln's last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. SV Darmstadt 98's 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.

The model puts the draw at 20.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • 1. FC Koln's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 2 Sep 2026.

1. FC Koln: WWWDW

SV Darmstadt 98: LWLDD

Head-to-head

As of 2 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 1.50Avg goals
  • 0%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2024-04-201. FC Koln vs SV Darmstadt 980–2
2023-12-01SV Darmstadt 98 vs 1. FC Koln0–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win 1. FC Koln vs SV Darmstadt 98?
Tofiko's model favours 1. FC Koln (64% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does 1. FC Koln vs SV Darmstadt 98 kick off?
Sat, 20 Apr 2024 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2023-2024.
What is the 1. FC Koln vs SV Darmstadt 98 head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.

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