1. FC Koln crest1. FC KolnvsVfL Bochum crestVfL Bochum

1. FC Koln 2-1 VfL Bochum — Result, H2H & Form

German Bundesliga 2023-2024Sat, 06 Apr 2024 13:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs 1. FC Koln53%

  • 1. FC Koln 53%
  • Draw 23%
  • VfL Bochum 24%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick 1. FC Koln, rating it at 52.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 6 times, and 1. FC Koln won 2 of 6, with 3 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

They arrive from very different football. 1. FC Koln's last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. VfL Bochum's 5 produced 6, at 1.2 per game.

The model puts the draw at 23.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • 1. FC Koln's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 2 Sep 2026.

1. FC Koln: WWWDW

VfL Bochum: LWWLD

Head-to-head

As of 2 Sep 2026.

  • 6Games
  • 2.67Avg goals
  • 83%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2024-04-061. FC Koln vs VfL Bochum2–1
2023-11-11VfL Bochum vs 1. FC Koln1–1
2023-03-101. FC Koln vs VfL Bochum0–2
2022-09-18VfL Bochum vs 1. FC Koln1–1
2022-01-22VfL Bochum vs 1. FC Koln2–2
2021-08-281. FC Koln vs VfL Bochum2–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win 1. FC Koln vs VfL Bochum?
Tofiko's model favours 1. FC Koln (53% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does 1. FC Koln vs VfL Bochum kick off?
Sat, 06 Apr 2024 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2023-2024.
What is the 1. FC Koln vs VfL Bochum head-to-head record?
In their last 6 meetings: 2 home wins, 3 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.67 goals per game.

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