VfL Bochum crestVfL BochumvsTSG 1899 Hoffenheim crestTSG 1899 Hoffenheim

VfL Bochum 0-1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim — Result, H2H & Form

German Bundesliga 2024-2025Sat, 01 Mar 2025 14:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim49%

  • VfL Bochum 28%
  • Draw 22%
  • TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 49%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, rating it at 49.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 8 times, and VfL Bochum won 4 of 8. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

They arrive from very different football. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim's last 5 produced 19 goals — 3.8 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 3. VfL Bochum's 5 produced 6, at 1.2 per game.

The model puts the draw at 22.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 2 Sep 2026.

VfL Bochum: LWWLD

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: LWDLW

Head-to-head

As of 2 Sep 2026.

  • 8Games
  • 3.88Avg goals
  • 75%Both scored
  • 75%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-03-01VfL Bochum vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim0–1
2024-10-19TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs VfL Bochum3–1
2024-04-26VfL Bochum vs Hoffenheim3–2
2023-12-08Hoffenheim vs VfL Bochum3–1
2023-02-04VfL Bochum vs Hoffenheim5–2
2022-08-13Hoffenheim vs VfL Bochum3–2
2022-04-02Hoffenheim vs VfL Bochum1–2
2021-11-06VfL Bochum vs Hoffenheim2–0

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FAQ

Who will win VfL Bochum vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim?
Tofiko's model favours TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (49% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does VfL Bochum vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim kick off?
Sat, 01 Mar 2025 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2024-2025.
What is the VfL Bochum vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim head-to-head record?
In their last 8 meetings: 6 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.88 goals per game.

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