1. FC Koln crest1. FC KolnvsArminia Bielefeld crestArminia Bielefeld

1. FC Koln 3-1 Arminia Bielefeld — Result, H2H & Form

German Bundesliga 2021-2022Sat, 23 Apr 2022 13:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs 1. FC Koln51%

  • 1. FC Koln 51%
  • Draw 26%
  • Arminia Bielefeld 23%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick 1. FC Koln, rating it at 51.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and 1. FC Koln won 2 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 51.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • 1. FC Koln's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 3 Sep 2026.

1. FC Koln: WWWDW

Arminia Bielefeld: LDWLL

Head-to-head

As of 3 Sep 2026.

  • 4Games
  • 2.75Avg goals
  • 75%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2022-04-231. FC Koln vs Arminia Bielefeld3–1
2021-12-04Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Koln1–1
2021-01-311. FC Koln vs Arminia Bielefeld3–1
2020-09-26Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Koln1–0

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FAQ

Who will win 1. FC Koln vs Arminia Bielefeld?
Tofiko's model favours 1. FC Koln (51% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does 1. FC Koln vs Arminia Bielefeld kick off?
Sat, 23 Apr 2022 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2021-2022.
What is the 1. FC Koln vs Arminia Bielefeld head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.75 goals per game.

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