1.FSV Mainz 05vs
Arminia Bielefeld1.FSV Mainz 05 4-0 Arminia Bielefeld — Result, H2H & Form
German Bundesliga 2021-2022Sat, 19 Mar 2022 14:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs 1.FSV Mainz 0559%
- 1.FSV Mainz 05 59%
- Draw 25%
- Arminia Bielefeld 16%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick 1.FSV Mainz 05, rating it at 58.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and 1.FSV Mainz 05 won 2 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 58.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 25.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- 1.FSV Mainz 05's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 3 Sep 2026.
1.FSV Mainz 05: DWWWD
Arminia Bielefeld: LDWLL
Head-to-head
As of 3 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2022-03-19 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Arminia Bielefeld | 4–0 |
| 2021-10-30 | Arminia Bielefeld vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 1–2 |
| 2021-04-03 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Arminia Bielefeld | 1–1 |
| 2020-12-05 | Arminia Bielefeld vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Arminia Bielefeld?
- Tofiko's model favours 1.FSV Mainz 05 (59% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Arminia Bielefeld kick off?
- Sat, 19 Mar 2022 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2021-2022.
- What is the 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Arminia Bielefeld head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.