Bayer Leverkusen crestBayer LeverkusenvsHertha BSC Berlin crestHertha BSC Berlin

Bayer Leverkusen 4-1 Hertha BSC Berlin — Result, H2H & Form

German Bundesliga 2022-2023Sun, 05 Mar 2023 14:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Bayer Leverkusen75%

Tofiko75% / 17% / 9%
Market63% / 21% / 16%
  • Bayer Leverkusen
  • Draw
  • Hertha BSC Berlin

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Bayer Leverkusen, rating it at 74.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 6 times, and Bayer Leverkusen won 2 of 6, with 3 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

What to keep in mind

  • Hertha BSC Berlin's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 25 Sep 2026.

Bayer Leverkusen: WWDWL

Hertha BSC Berlin: WWWWD

Head-to-head

As of 25 Sep 2026.

  • 6Games
  • 2.83Avg goals
  • 67%Both scored
  • 67%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2023-03-05Bayer Leverkusen vs Hertha BSC Berlin4–1
2022-09-10Hertha BSC Berlin vs Bayer Leverkusen2–2
2022-04-02Bayer Leverkusen vs Hertha BSC Berlin2–1
2021-11-07Hertha BSC Berlin vs Bayer Leverkusen1–1
2021-03-21Hertha BSC Berlin vs Bayer Leverkusen3–0
2020-11-29Bayer Leverkusen vs Hertha BSC Berlin0–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Bayer Leverkusen vs Hertha BSC Berlin?
Tofiko's model favours Bayer Leverkusen (75% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Bayer Leverkusen vs Hertha BSC Berlin kick off?
Sun, 05 Mar 2023 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2022-2023.
What is the Bayer Leverkusen vs Hertha BSC Berlin head-to-head record?
In their last 6 meetings: 3 home wins, 3 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.83 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.

First legHertha BSC 2-2 Bayer Leverkusen10 Sept 2022 →