Greuther Furthvs
Bayer LeverkusenGreuther Furth 1-4 Bayer Leverkusen — Result, H2H & Form
German Bundesliga 2021-2022Sat, 23 Apr 2022 13:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Bayer Leverkusen74%
- Greuther Furth 11%
- Draw 15%
- Bayer Leverkusen 74%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Bayer Leverkusen, rating it at 73.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Greuther Furth won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 73.7% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 15.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Greuther Furth's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 3 Sep 2026.
Greuther Furth: WLLDW
Bayer Leverkusen: LWWLW
Head-to-head
As of 3 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 6.50Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2022-04-23 | Greuther Furth vs Bayer Leverkusen | 1–4 |
| 2021-12-04 | Bayer Leverkusen vs Greuther Furth | 7–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Greuther Furth vs Bayer Leverkusen?
- Tofiko's model favours Bayer Leverkusen (74% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Greuther Furth vs Bayer Leverkusen kick off?
- Sat, 23 Apr 2022 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2021-2022.
- What is the Greuther Furth vs Bayer Leverkusen head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 6.50 goals per game.