Bayer 04 Leverkusenvs
VfB StuttgartBayer 04 Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart Prediction, H2H & Stats
German BundesligaSat, 31 Oct 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Bayer 04 Leverkusen58%
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen 58%
- Draw 23%
- VfB Stuttgart 18%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Bayer 04 Leverkusen, rating it at 58.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Bayer 04 Leverkusen won 1 of 10, with 4 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 23.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- VfB Stuttgart's games are very high-scoring at 5.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Bayer 04 Leverkusen: WWWWD
VfB Stuttgart: WWWWL
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.60Avg goals
- 80%Both scored
- 60%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | VfB Stuttgart vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 3–1 |
| 2026-01-10 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart | 1–4 |
| 2025-03-16 | VfB Stuttgart vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 3–4 |
| 2024-11-01 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart | 0–0 |
| 2024-04-27 | Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart | 2–2 |
| 2023-12-10 | VfB Stuttgart vs Bayer Leverkusen | 1–1 |
| 2023-05-14 | VfB Stuttgart vs Bayer Leverkusen | 1–1 |
| 2022-11-12 | Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart | 2–0 |
| 2022-02-12 | Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart | 4–2 |
| 2021-09-19 | VfB Stuttgart vs Bayer Leverkusen | 1–3 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart?
- Tofiko's model favours Bayer 04 Leverkusen (58% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart kick off?
- Sat, 31 Oct 2026 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 4 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.60 goals per game.