FC Bayern Munich crestFC Bayern MunichvsBorussia Dortmund crestBorussia Dortmund

FC Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction, H2H & Form

German BundesligaSat, 31 Oct 2026 17:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs FC Bayern Munich66%

Tofiko66% / 20% / 14%
  • FC Bayern Munich
  • Draw
  • Borussia Dortmund

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick FC Bayern Munich, rating it at 66.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and FC Bayern Munich won 3 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

What to keep in mind

  • FC Bayern Munich's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 22 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 39 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

FC Bayern Munich: WWWDW

Borussia Dortmund: WWWWW

Head-to-head

As of 22 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 39 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 3.70Avg goals
  • 80%Both scored
  • 80%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-22Borussia Dortmund vs FC Bayern Munich1–2
2026-02-28Borussia Dortmund vs FC Bayern Munich2–3
2025-10-18FC Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund2–1
2025-04-12FC Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund2–2
2024-11-30Borussia Dortmund vs FC Bayern Munich1–1
2024-03-30Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund0–2
2023-11-04Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich0–4
2023-04-01Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund4–2
2022-10-08Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich2–2
2022-04-23Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund3–1

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FAQ

Who will win FC Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund?
Tofiko's model favours FC Bayern Munich (66% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does FC Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund kick off?
Sat, 31 Oct 2026 17:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
What is the FC Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 3 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.70 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureBorussia Dortmund vs Bayern München6 Mar 2027 →