FC Bayern Munichvs
Borussia DortmundFC Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction, H2H & Form
German BundesligaSat, 31 Oct 2026 17:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
FC Bayern Munich to win66%
1X2: model backs FC Bayern Munich at 66%.
- FC Bayern Munich
- Draw
- Borussia Dortmund
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- FC Bayern Munich or draw86%
- Draw or Borussia Dortmund34%
- FC Bayern Munich or Borussia Dortmund80%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.580%
- Under 2.520%
Both teams to score
- FC Bayern Munich, last 10 home games7 of 10
- Borussia Dortmund, last 10 away games5 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (297 games)63%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Bayern Munich, rating it at 66.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and FC Bayern Munich won 3 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- FC Bayern Munich's games are very high-scoring at 5.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 18 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
FC Bayern Munich: DDWWW
Borussia Dortmund: DWWWW
Head-to-head
As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 18 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.70Avg goals
- 80%Both scored
- 80%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Borussia Dortmund vs FC Bayern Munich | 1–2 |
| 2026-02-28 | Borussia Dortmund vs FC Bayern Munich | 2–3 |
| 2025-10-18 | FC Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund | 2–1 |
| 2025-04-12 | FC Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund | 2–2 |
| 2024-11-30 | Borussia Dortmund vs FC Bayern Munich | 1–1 |
| 2024-03-30 | Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund | 0–2 |
| 2023-11-04 | Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich | 0–4 |
| 2023-04-01 | Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund | 4–2 |
| 2022-10-08 | Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich | 2–2 |
| 2022-04-23 | Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund | 3–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win FC Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Bayern Munich (66% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund kick off?
- Sat, 31 Oct 2026 17:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the FC Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 3 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.70 goals per game.