FC Bayern Munichvs
Borussia DortmundFC Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction, H2H & Stats
German BundesligaSat, 31 Oct 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Bayern Munich66%
- FC Bayern Munich 66%
- Draw 20%
- Borussia Dortmund 14%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Bayern Munich, rating it at 66.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and FC Bayern Munich won 2 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 19.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
FC Bayern Munich: LWWWD
Borussia Dortmund: WDLWW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.90Avg goals
- 80%Both scored
- 80%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | Borussia Dortmund vs FC Bayern Munich | 2–3 |
| 2025-10-18 | FC Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund | 2–1 |
| 2025-04-12 | FC Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund | 2–2 |
| 2024-11-30 | Borussia Dortmund vs FC Bayern Munich | 1–1 |
| 2024-03-30 | Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund | 0–2 |
| 2023-11-04 | Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich | 0–4 |
| 2023-04-01 | Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund | 4–2 |
| 2022-10-08 | Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich | 2–2 |
| 2022-04-23 | Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund | 3–1 |
| 2021-12-04 | Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich | 2–3 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win FC Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Bayern Munich (66% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund kick off?
- Sat, 31 Oct 2026 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the FC Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 3 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.90 goals per game.