Bayer 04 Leverkusenvs
VfL BochumBayer 04 Leverkusen 3-1 VfL Bochum — Result, H2H & Form
German Bundesliga 2024-2025Fri, 28 Mar 2025 19:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Bayer 04 Leverkusen76%
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen 76%
- Draw 16%
- VfL Bochum 8%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Bayer 04 Leverkusen, rating it at 76.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Bayer 04 Leverkusen won 1 of 8, with 2 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. Bayer 04 Leverkusen's last 5 produced 18 goals — 3.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. VfL Bochum's 5 produced 6, at 1.2 per game.
The model puts the draw at 16.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen: LWWLW
VfL Bochum: LWWLD
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 8Games
- 2.63Avg goals
- 25%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-28 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs VfL Bochum | 3–1 |
| 2024-11-09 | VfL Bochum vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 1–1 |
| 2024-05-12 | VfL Bochum vs Bayer Leverkusen | 0–5 |
| 2023-12-20 | Bayer Leverkusen vs VfL Bochum | 4–0 |
| 2023-05-27 | VfL Bochum vs Bayer Leverkusen | 3–0 |
| 2023-01-25 | Bayer Leverkusen vs VfL Bochum | 2–0 |
| 2022-04-10 | VfL Bochum vs Bayer Leverkusen | 0–0 |
| 2021-11-20 | Bayer Leverkusen vs VfL Bochum | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs VfL Bochum?
- Tofiko's model favours Bayer 04 Leverkusen (76% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs VfL Bochum kick off?
- Fri, 28 Mar 2025 19:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2024-2025.
- What is the Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs VfL Bochum head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 5 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.63 goals per game.