Arminia Bielefeldvs
Bayern MunichArminia Bielefeld 0-3 Bayern Munich — Result, H2H & Form
German Bundesliga 2021-2022Sun, 17 Apr 2022 13:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Bayern Munich76%
- Arminia Bielefeld 8%
- Draw 16%
- Bayern Munich 76%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Bayern Munich, rating it at 76.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Arminia Bielefeld won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 76.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Bayern Munich's last 5 produced 24 goals — 4.8 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Arminia Bielefeld's 5 produced 16, at 3.2 per game.
The model puts the draw at 16.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Bayern Munich's games are very high-scoring at 4.8 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 3 Sep 2026.
Arminia Bielefeld: LDWLL
Bayern Munich: WWWWW
Head-to-head
As of 3 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 3.75Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2022-04-17 | Arminia Bielefeld vs Bayern Munich | 0–3 |
| 2021-11-27 | Bayern Munich vs Arminia Bielefeld | 1–0 |
| 2021-02-15 | Bayern Munich vs Arminia Bielefeld | 3–3 |
| 2020-10-17 | Arminia Bielefeld vs Bayern Munich | 1–4 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Arminia Bielefeld vs Bayern Munich?
- Tofiko's model favours Bayern Munich (76% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Arminia Bielefeld vs Bayern Munich kick off?
- Sun, 17 Apr 2022 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2021-2022.
- What is the Arminia Bielefeld vs Bayern Munich head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.75 goals per game.